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1. The reference framework: public finance, expenditure of the
defence, strategic aims
Deciding to
intervene and carrying out operationally any kind of military
intervention for the Italian State means having to reckon with the
relative shortage of allocations that has been ongoing in Italian
public finance in recent years. Formerly military expenditure was a
leading factor in the development of public expenses in modern and
contemporary states. In some decades and above all in times of
conflict and preparation for conflicts, military expenditure formed
a rather high share of the entire public expenditure and a
considerable flow of financial resources was designed for the
purchase of war equipment, military technology and relative
supports, ammunition and other reserves. The share of military
expenditure over the total expenditure provided for by the state
budget was the expression of the state's military policies and,
more generally, of the state's attitude at an international level.
Military expenditure is thus an essential tool to reach the state's
strategic aims.
Thus in the
XVIII and XIX centuries expenditure for defence increased
considerably and covered up to 15-20% of the entire public
expenditure. According to the oldest theory of the finance science
the increase in military expenditure was seen as one of the main
causes of the rise in public expenditure in the XIX century and in
the early '900. This is not the case for the second half of the
last century and the start of the XXI century. State expenditure
underwent deep changes in that the value regarding government
interventions on economy and society increased greatly through ever
more expensive and articulated public administrations. The most
important items of expenditure of the public administrations are
those regarding the retributions of civilian personnel, costs of
interventions in the field of economy and social interventions.
Social costs in European countries now represent an average amount
equal to about 25% of the GNP. Moreover, in some states, marked by
high levels of public debt, we have seen consistent expenses for
public debt service consisting in interest rates and in refunding
costs. Italy must be considered among these countries.
Since 1992,
moreover, there is a strategic public policy intervention that
tends to reduce the budget of public administrations in compliance
with the Maastricht treaty. This international normative, in fact,
subjects the access of European states to the single currency
system to the achievement of a public administration aggregate
balance inferior to 3% of each state's GNP. In our country the
policy followed by the government and by parliament produced a
restrictive action on expenditure. 96 As this restriction could not
be easily applied to the most rigid expenses, interventions of a
social nature, interest rates and salary costs for civilian
personnel, it was necessary to reduce the expenses deemed more
flexible, among which military costs. This explains why expenses
provided for by the defence budget underwent a gradual reduction
over the last decades. In fact, expenses dropped from 1.92% of the
GNP in 1989 to about 1.75% of the GNP in the years that followed
and down to 1.45% in 1999 and 1.47% in 2000-2002, while we can see
a slight increase in 2003 up to 1.50% of the GNP (figure 1). It is
a matter of very limited allocations, especially if we consider the
demands of a modern state committed in intervention actions in
defence of peace and international security. The inadequacy of
defence expenditure is evident in international comparisons. In
figure 1, for instance, expenditure allocations pro-capite for the
armed forces of the main European countries are compared and we can
easily notice that the pro-capite availability of resources for the
armed forces apparatus in Italy is considerably lower to that of
our European partners.
2. Features and structure of military expenditure in the budget
system of the Italian state
The Ministry of
Defence allocates public expenditure designed for the armed forces.
In view of the budget, military costs are divided into four
different functions: defence (which includes expenditure for the
three armed forces formed by the Army, the Navy and the Air Force);
public security (which includes allocations designed for the armed
force formed by the Carabinieri Corps); external (which includes
expenditure activities that are not specifically military but
entrusted to the armed forces because of an operational connection
with state defence); temporary pensions (regarding the temporary
retirement treatment of auxiliary personnel). In its reports the
Ministry of Defence applies a fundamental subdivision between
expenses bound to laws and expenses bound to programmes. The former
regard the ones with allocations pre-determined by a bill of law so
that the bodies responsible for deciding on the budget have to keep
to the values provided for by law, the latter are bound to a
programme because the authorities responsible for deciding on the
budget can manoeuvre them by planning acts articulated year by
year.
Military
expenditure administered by the Ministry of Defence is administered
by administrative responsibility centres. Until 2003 there were
eighteen of them, but in the 2004 budget they have been reduced to
seven.
3. Financial costs of the MSU and coverage
The
characteristics of military expenditure in the state budget make
the funding of MSU costs a problem. It is a matter of a rather
consistent increase in costs, both as regards absolute values and
as far as the GNP and the total public expenditure are concerned.
The development of military techniques and above all the complexity
of technological tools and logistic supports, in fact, have made
the operations of the armed forces in the contemporary world more
and more expensive. The additional costs required by carrying out
MSU operations have no space in ordinary budget allocations, but
governmental and legislative authorities have had to turn to more
complex methodologies to find the consistent resources needed to
carry out the interventions. The political MSU intervention choice
has thus implied legislative decisions to fund such interventions.
This was taken care of in the legislative ambit authorizing the
missions: the same provision authorizing the armed forces'
commitment in the war or crisis theatre decided - in compliance
with a precise disposition contained in art. 81, paragraph 4 of the
Constitution - on matters of cost funding and coverage. There are
two theoretically possible coverages: - added revenue forecasts
from new taxation by a rate increase; - the use of general expense
funds set aside for unforeseen expenses or for costs due deriving
laws under approval.
Thus, as an
example of the first item, we must consider the 1 July, 1996
decree, converted by law No. 428 of 8 August 1996 providing for the
funding of the Italian participation to the peace restoration
operations in Bosnia, valued in 240 billion lire, by increasing the
excise tax rate, that is the duty on production and on unleaded
petrol. Public finance also had to face the considerable additional
cost of interventions in Albania and Macedonia within the NATO
mission with humanitarian and military protection tasks;
intervention authorized by Decree No. 110 of 21 April, 1999,
converted by law No. 186 of 18 June, 1999. Taxes were not put up,
but art. 1 paragraph 63 of law No. 549 of 28 December, 1995, a norm
of a general kind, was applied. The text of the mentioned law
establishes that expenses related to military interventions abroad,
those of a humanitarian kind as well, authorized by Parliament
connected with international agreements, the procedure provided by
art. 9 of the 5 August, 1978 law may be adopted, on a deliberation
by the Council of Ministers, on the proposal of the Treasury. Art.
9 of law No. 468/1978 foresees the power of the Cabinet to employ a
special reserve fund for cash authorizations aiming at integrating
budget allocations.
The amount of
funds provided for by budget supply services is established
annually by the budget law. A further expense authorization for the
Italian participation in military operations abroad has been
provided for by legislative decree No. 4 of 20 January, converted
by law No. 42 of 18 March, 2003. Here too the law did not provided
for coverage through new or higher taxation, but found the
necessary funds in the budget. In this case, the special fund
designed for the coverage of costs deriving from laws submitted for
approval during deliberation of the budget law was used. The fund
is provided for and regulated by art.11 a) of law No. 468 of 1978.
In fact, the funding of the MSU creation costs is episodic and
partly guaranteed by added taxation and partly by funds within the
current state budget. Actually, budget allocations of the Ministry
of Defence are increased by withdrawing money from budget funds or
higher fiscal revenue on the basis of the above mentioned laws.
As regards the
Carabinieri Corps, since the year 2000, there have been budget
variations with a fund flow to allocations included in the
administrative responsibility centre Carabinieri Corps of the
Ministry of Defence expenditure forecasts for the values stated in
Table 1. As shown in the Table, the highest fund flow took place in
the financial year 2002 reaching over 41.5 million euros. table 1
Variations in the increase of State Ministry of Defence expenditure
forecast allocations (Carabinieri Corps for the funding of M.S.U.
missions) (amounts in euro) 2000 2001 2002 2003 Total Kfor Kosovo
19.653.767,29 16.596.755,62 18.090.220 54.340.742,91 Sfor Sarajevo
21.225.862,5 21.094.010,65 23.433.256 22.109.267 87.862.396,15 Kfor
Pristina 17.136.469 17.136.469 40.696.672,46 37.690.766,27
41.523.476 39.245.736 159.339.608,1 Suorce: data supplied by the
Budget Office of the General Command of the Carabinieri Corps.
However, in the
year 2000 the amount of incremental variations of the allocations
to the Corps was considerable and over 40 million euros. The
mission that required the highest fund flow as regards defence
forecasts was the SFOR Sarajevo with almost 88 million euros. We
can reckon the total fund flow amount needed in the financial years
2000-2003 from the tables.
4. Effects and fall-out of MSU expenses. Productivity of MSU
expenses
The public
administration's tendency to assess public expenditure as regards
efficacy and profitableness in achieving targeted results and aims
is gradually gaining ground in the theory of the science of
finance. In other words, such an assessment should allow to verify
the administration's performance and, in particular, ascertain
whether the administration itself has achieved targeted results
with the minimum outlay of resources or whether it has optimized
the products of available resources (efficacy). Controlling methods
apt to allow to assess whether an adequate functional relation
between resources and targeted aims has produced a good management
of resources (productivity). Such kind of controls becomes
prevailing and central through a vast succession of administrative
law and public accountancy regulations.
These norms
reached the climax in legislative decree No. 286 of 30 July, 1999.
Expenditure for the creation of the MSU is an interesting case
within public expenditure in general and military expenditure in
particular. This is an entirely new situation compared to the
tendencies risen in recent decades. Actually, it is true that
military expenditure has, in several recent historical situations,
been the object of some kind of unfavourable prejudice, which
turned, in substance, into an allegation of unprofitableness from
an economic viewpoint. In other words, a kind of Il Deserto dei
Tartari (The desert of the Tartars) complex, to quote a fascinating
contemporary novel, has been experienced according to which the
presence of border troops or sea patrols by naval teams and of the
air space by the air force are by no means productive economic
factors of a true and proper service subject to a defined quantity
assessment.
The fact that
the enemy potential could remain "potential" for years, the
circumstance that the last defence in a global conflict could be
entrusted to a foreign armed force equipped with non-conventional
weapons, and lastly a pacifist political approach had contributed
in marking military expenditure of unprofitableness. As we know,
the paths of history are endless and have proposed developments and
events unforeseeable only fifty years ago. The feared global world
conflict did not occur and finally disappeared from the forecasts,
but local situations of great instability jeopardize the security
of certain critical areas, the life of fellow citizens and of
entire populations worthy of attention, respect and care and, above
all, prevent the functioning of democratic institutions in some
countries around the world.
Interventions
of a conventional military kind, very specific as regards methods,
armed forces employed and strategic objectives thus become
absolutely necessary. In this respect MSU interventions offer the
opportunity to assess productivity in a different manner. Actually,
these military interventions may be valued on the basis of the
outcome of actions carried out in terms of the number of human
lives rescued, people saved when in danger of death or serious
offences, guaranteed security conditions when all situations of
conflict, upheaval or guerilla would have caused enormous damage to
numerous subjects. These results must certainly be considered in
choosing to employ military resources in MSU interventions. These
results, however, are not easily quantifiable in mathematical
terms. However, there are situations when it is possible to
specifically assess the productivity in carrying out a successful
MSU intervention; assessment in terms of saving on other costs that
would have been necessary in the absence or failure of an
intervention.
This occurs
when the restoration of legality and the establishment of efficient
police forces on the territory forming the MSU intervention theatre
allow to withdraw other military forces sent to the territory. In
other words, we can compare two possible scenarios: the first in
the absence or failure of MSU intervention when other military
forces need to prolong their presence on the territory; the second
is the result of a successful MSU intervention.
In the latter
event it is possible to withdraw the other military forces in the
brief term due to the security situation reached and later to the
MSU contingent. The productivity of the MSU action can thus be
assessed in terms of quantity by calculating what is saved by
withdrawing the other military forces following the successful
action of the MSU. Saving is reached by the economic and financial
cost of the presence of military forces on the territory and by the
cost in general terms (political and administrative) of prolonging
the presence of military forces in the war theatre or of other
facts determining instability and military insecurity. Actually,
the situation of expenses for the MSU action appears very peculiar
and for these expenses it is easier to indicate the productivity
and overcome the Deserto dei Tartari complex. This fact appears to
be the reason for deciding to fund expenses designed to carry out
this kind of intervention and of decided support, through state
budget expenditure Financing directed at strengthening those
military forces designed for humanitarian interventions,
peacekeeping and MSU in particular.
The time when
armies and fleets lay in wait of the enemy, perhaps powerful and
dangerous, but long inactive in its position, is over. The
strategic-military situation is marked by important
transformations. The most serious dangers in the political and
geographical balance will no longer arise from traditional declared
conflicts, but from military actions apparently separated, without
an organic plan and preceded by formal declarations of war, which
represent a danger for the stability and the security of entire
areas or which jeopardize the survival of millions of people by
pollution, famine, plunder and destructive attitudes. Interventions
designed to face these situations require well trained personnel,
the use of modern weapons fit for very qualified actions (it is no
longer a matter of hitting the enemy in any manner, but of a
sophisticated combat technique because of the presence of helpless
populations and many subjects in need) as well as the use of very
sophisticated technologies, informatic tools and developed and very
efficient communication systems.
This is the
reason why ordinary budget allocations are always inadequate for
the needs of an intervention in favour of international safeguard
and security. It is thus necessary to resort to manoeuvres
employing special funds, reserve funds or other extraordinary
tools. It is high time that ordinary state budget allocations for
the armed forces, including the Carabinieri Corps, became
sufficiently consistent to guarantee the steady funding of
interventions in favour of peace and security. This is why
government authorities and parliamentary forces can reasonably
assess the possibility of a cautious, though consistent budget
increase in military expenditure apt to overcome the drawback of
insufficient allocations which has so far marked the budget of the
Italian state.
(*) - Dean at the faculty of
Economics at the "Libera Università S. Pio V" in
Rome. |